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Big Tech earnings face more heat as cloud cover fades

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Big Tech earnings face more heat as cloud cover fades

Big Tech results reinforced concerns a boom in cloud services is easing, limiting a lucrative source of profit when a slowing economy has hit the companies’ other businesses and prompting a bet on artificial intelligence as the next growth driver.

Earnings from Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O) and Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) – which together dominate the cloud market – showed growth in the business was at its lowest since they started breaking out the metric in 2015 and was on track to slow further.

Alphabet Inc (GOOGL.O), which has the smallest cloud business among the three, said Google Cloud grew 32%, the slowest rise since the company began reporting the measure in 2019.

The poor results reflect a shift to post-pandemic frugality by corporate customers whose budgets have been squeezed in the past year by high inflation and rising interest rates.

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“Once thought as the most defensive revenue stream in tech, we are seeing investors questioning the cyclicality for the (cloud) business,” analysts at Bernstein said.

Cloud services had long been a reliable source of earnings for Microsoft and Amazon.

The Windows maker posted growth of around 50% in its Azure cloud-computing business for each quarter of calendar 2020 when the pandemic forced people to work and study at home. Meanwhile, market leader Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported a sales jump of about 30% during the same period.

Times, though, have changed.

Growth at AWS slowed to a record low of 20% in the last three months of 2022 to $21.4 billion, slightly missing analysts’ estimates of $22.03 billion, according to Refinitiv data.

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Microsoft’s revenue in its so-called intelligent cloud business that includes Azure rose 18% to beat expectations for October to December. But its current-quarter forecast of $21.7 billion to $22 billion was below estimates of $22.14 billion.

“The deceleration in AWS was even worse than expected and means Amazon can’t rely on that business units’ operating profits as much in coming quarters,” said Andrew Lipsman, principal analyst at Insider Intelligence.

Amazon finance chief Brian Olsavsky said on Thursday that the company expects slower cloud growth rates for the next few quarters. That echoed Microsoft, which said last week that growth in its Azure cloud-computing business would slow by 4-5 basis points in the March quarter.

“You’ve just come off two years of rapid movement of workloads to the cloud, there’s probably a lot of inefficiencies in cloud spending and now there is a shifting focus to greater efficiency,” said James Cordwell, an analyst at Atlantic Equities.

AI SILVER LINING

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A potential boom in AI after the viral success of OpenAI’s ChatGPT could boost demand for cloud services again though, analysts said. AI applications require massive computing power, a boon for companies whose services help run the technology.

As an investor and partner of OpenAI, Microsoft looks well poised, analysts said, but any gains may take time to translate into profits.

“Those (AI) advancements and demand for related cloud services will take time to materialize. They’re not likely to offset current headwinds in the enterprise market over the next few quarters,” Lipsman said.

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El Salvador partnership to build $1bn bitcoin mining farm

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El Salvador partnership to build $1bn bitcoin mining farm

A public-private partnership in El Salvador will pump $1 billion into creating one of the world’s largest bitcoin mining farms, the group called Volcano Energy announced on Monday.

The project will start with an initial $250 million, backed by “key Bitcoin industry leaders” in collaboration with renewable energy developers, Volcano Energy said in a statement.

El Salvador’s state “Bitcoin Office” retweeted the news on its Twitter. The presidential office did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Volcano Energy said the funds would go toward an estimated 241 MW power generation park using solar and wind energy in the northwestern municipality of Metapan, which will eventually power the bitcoin mining farm.

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Bitcoin mining uses high-power computers hooked up to a global network, sucking up massive amounts of electricity in the process. The energy-intensive practice has come under fire from environmentalists who are concerned that it would exacerbate forest loss and climate change.

The announcement comes two years after Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele declared his intention to make bitcoin legal tender.

A Reuters report found adoption among residents has been shaky, while the International Monetary Fund has cautioned against the embrace due to legal risks, fiscal fragility and the speculative market.

Bukele and his bitcoin backers have said the currency can bring jobs, financial inclusion and foreign investment to the country, one of the poorest in the Western Hemisphere.

The El Salvador government will have “a preferred participation equivalent to 23% of the revenues” in the project, Volcano Energy said, with private investors holding 27%.

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The remaining 50% will be reinvested back into infrastructure, the statement said, without clarifying the overall ownership structure.

Tether, a startup operating a cryptocurrency pegged to the U.S. dollar, participated in the initial investment, it confirmed in a separate statement, without specifying the amount contributed. It listed Josue Lopez, who was involved with a $200 million solar energy plant announced last year, as the CEO of Volcano Energy, and Max Keiser, a bitcoin influencer, as its chairman.

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Chinese quants redouble AI bets amid ChatGPT frenzy

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Chinese quants redouble AI bets amid ChatGPT frenzy

Chinese quant hedge fund managers are rushing to explore ChatGPT-style tools, embracing the emerging AI technology that has sparked a global frenzy since the release of the widely popular Microsoft-backed OpenAI chatbot.

Quants’ focus on advanced artificial intelligence to aid decision-making comes amid a tough investment environment, as China’s post-COVID recovery wanes and competition rises in the country’s 20 trillion yuan ($3 trillion) private fund industry.

“ChatGPT is an epoch-making application … It can draw conclusions from a complicated network of relationships with numerous dimensions in ways human brains cannot,” said Steve Chen, partner of Shanghai-based MX Capital.

“Exploring its ability is now our main focus.”

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His hedge fund already uses ChatGPT to better understand a company’s fundamentals and avoid value traps, project earnings power, and identify investment opportunities and risks.

ChatGPT, trained using a huge amount of data, can write poems, compose music, draw paintings, and generate other strikingly humanlike responses based on user prompts.

A ChatGPT-like tool boosts quants’ ability to process text-related data, said Feng Ji, chairman of Baiont Capital.

“We were also inspired by ChatGPT to build large models using trading data, instead of text,” Feng said.

Feng’s hedge fund, backed by former Google China chief and AI veteran Kai-Fu Lee, has invested heavily in hardware to enhance computing power required for model-training.

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High-Flyer, among China’s biggest quant funds, has hailed advanced AI as the “greatest innovation of our times”.

In April, High-Flyer announced the setup of a research unit to explore disruptive AI technologies.

MACHINE VS MAN
Last week, Beijing-based asset manager Zhishan Investment said it would deploy AI robot “Cybertron” across all products and use it to help reshape its investment methodology.

Baiont Capital’s Feng is more ambitious, seeking to let robots take full control of the investment process – from data analysis and prediction, to decision-making and execution.

Feng’s Nanjing-based company uses high-frequency trading strategies and recruits only computer scientists, not Wall Street traders.

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Robots do a much better job than humans in forecasting share moves over the next hour as “machine learning is designed to make such predictions”, Feng said.

While ChatGPT-like tools have stirred excitement, the race to develop and adopt powerful AI services has also fuelled anxiety about privacy, safety and job security.

Regulators are looking for ways to tackle the impact of generative AI technology. In China, where technology giants such as Alibaba (9988.HK), Sensetime (0020.HK), and Baidu (9888.HK) have ramped up AI bets, regulators unveiled draft measures in April giving them greater oversight of the technology.

Larry Cao, senior director of research at CFA Institute, cautioned the technology could put at stake jobs of bankers and fund managers working in areas where data is easily accessible.

“If you’re an analyst just telling people the story that everybody is telling other folks, what’s your value-add? I can just ask ChatGPT, right?” said Cao, editor of a newly published handbook on how to apply AI and Big Data in investments.

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“The threat is real, but it’s not tomorrow.”

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WhatsApp users will soon be able to link existing account on Android to iPad

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WhatsApp users will soon be able to link existing account on Android to iPad

WhatsApp is working on a new feature that will add compatibility with search iPad as a companion device, a portal that closely monitors the messaging app reported.

In the previous feature, the Meta-owned service has allowed users to link an additional iOS device to an existing WhatsApp account. With this feature, users are able to link up to 4 devices to their accounts at a time, while maintaining the same level of privacy and security.

The future update will add compatibility with search iPad as a new linked device.

As you can see in this screenshot, search iPad is finally recognized as a linked device. This means you will be able to link WhatsApp for iPad to your existing account in the future. It’s important to note that WhatsApp for iPad is still in development and not yet available to beta testers,” reads WaBetaInfo blog.

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The ability to link an iPad as a companion device on WhatsApp for Android is under development and it will be released to beta testers in a future update of the app.

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