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Chinese loans to Africa plummet to near two-decade low

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Chinese loans to Africa plummet to near two-decade low

 Chinese sovereign lending to Africa fell below $1 billion last year – the lowest level in nearly two decades – underscoring Beijing’s shift away from a decades-long big ticket infrastructure spree on the continent, data showed on Tuesday.

The drop in lending reflected in data from Boston University’s Global China Initiative comes as several African nations struggle with debt crises and China’s own economy is facing growing headwinds.

Africa has been a focus of President Xi Jinping’s ambitious Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), launched in 2013 to recreate the ancient Silk Road and extend China’s geopolitical and economic influence through a global infrastructure development push.

Boston University’s Chinese Loans to Africa Database estimates Chinese lenders provided $170 billion to Africa from 2000 to 2022.

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But lending has declined sharply since a 2016 peak. Just seven loans worth $1.22 billion were signed in 2021. Nine loans totalling $994 million were agreed last year, marking the lowest level of Chinese lending since 2004.

While those two years coincide with the COVID-19 pandemic, researcher Oyintarelado Moses told Reuters that there are other contributing factors.

“A lot of that really has to do with the level of risk exposure,” said Moses, who manages the database and co-authored a report released on Tuesday.

While African governments largely welcomed Chinese lending and infrastructure projects, Western critics have accused Beijing of saddling poor nations with unsustainable debt.

Zambia – a major Chinese borrower – became the first African country to default during the COVID-19 pandemic in late 2020. Other governments, including Ghana, Kenya and Ethiopia, are also struggling.

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China, meanwhile, is facing its own problems at home as policymakers struggle to revive growth amid persistent weakness in the crucial property industry, a faltering currency and flagging global demand for its manufactured goods.

“China’s domestic economy is playing a huge role here,” said Moses.

The China Development Bank and the Export-Import Bank of China – the two institutions behind most of the lending to Africa – have been redeployed to support the domestic economy, while much of the overseas lending that remains is going to markets closer to home.

The decline in loans does not necessarily mean an end to Chinese engagement in Africa, however.

The Boston University analysis found that certain trends – fewer loans over $500 million and more focus on social and environmental impacts – appeared to reflect China’s stated push towards a more high-quality, greener Belt and Road Initiative.

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“This is such a huge part of the relationship, I think there’s still going to be interest from Chinese lenders,” Moses said. “It’s just that it’s going to look different.”

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Oil inches up, all eyes on OPEC+ meeting

Oil inches up, all eyes on OPEC+ meeting

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Oil inches up, all eyes on OPEC+ meeting

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors eagerly awaited the outcome of an anticipated OPEC+ meeting that could lead to deeper supply cuts in 2024.

Brent crude futures for January climbed 70 cents to $83.80 a barrel by 0935 GMT, on subdued volumes given the contract is meant to expire today. The more active February contract was up 58 cents at $83.46 a barrel.

Meanwhile, US West Texas Intermediate crude futures crept up 55 cents to $78.41 a barrel.

The OPEC+ group, which includes the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, is expected to hold virtual meetings on Thursday to discuss additional production cuts that could range between 1 million to 2 million barrels per day (bpd) in early 2024.

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The meeting, being held on the same day as global leaders gather in Dubai for the U.N. climate conference, was originally scheduled for last week but was deferred due to disagreements over output quotas for African producers.

Implementing additional cuts will send prices higher in the immediate future but long term, their impact will be “dubious”, said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

Compliance will be an issue, and the global oil balance is probably much less tight than OPEC estimates, he said, citing the latest commercial inventory data out of the United States and the stubbornly high-interest rates in many major economies that are likely to dampen oil demand.

The US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday reported a surprise build in US crude oil stocks last week, with inventories up by 1.6 million barrels, compared with analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for a 933,000-barrel drop.

But oil prices on Wednesday shrugged off the data with all eyes on the OPEC+ meeting, analysts said.

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Adding to the pessimism on the demand side are China’s persisting economic troubles, embodied in the latest factory data published on Thursday, which showed contraction for a second straight month in November. 

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216 illegal gas connections cut, Rs69m fine imposed on violators

216 illegal gas connections cut, Rs69m fine imposed on violators

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216 illegal gas connections cut, Rs69m fine imposed on violators

The Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) conducted raids in Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Islamabad, resulting in the disconnection of 216 connections.

More than 287 under-billing cases were proceeded against and a substantial fine of Rs69 million was imposed.

In Lahore, the regional team disconnected 38 connections for illegal gas use, along with 14 connections using compressors. 

Multan witnessed the disconnection of four connections for illegal gas use, processing 109 under-billing cases, and levying a fine of Rs0.14 million against the under-billing.

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In Sheikhupura, 43 connections were disconnected for illegal use, five for compressor use, and 46 under-billing cases were processed, resulting in a fine of Rs4.52 million.

Peshawar and Karak reported 62 disconnections for direct and illegal gas use. Three FIRs were lodged against the gas pillagers.

Also Read: SNGPL disconnects 212 gas for gas theft

In Bahawalpur, 13 connections were disconnected while the crackdown was extended to Sahiwal, Faisalabad, Gujrat, and Sialkot.

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Inclusion of non-filers to tax net will reduce circular debt: Miftah

Inclusion of non-filers to tax net will reduce circular debt: Miftah

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Inclusion of non-filers to tax net will reduce circular debt: Miftah

 Former federal finance minister Miftah Ismail has stressed the need for including non-filers in the tax net to reduce the circular debts.

He expressed these views while talking to Dunya News programme “Dunya Kamran Khan Kay Sath”.

During the interview, the former FinMin expressed concerns over the soaring electricity prices, urging a reduction in distribution companies’ line losses to alleviate the burden on consumers.

He underscored the value of maintaining a positive relationship with the IMF.

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According to Ismail, the priority should be given to curbing inflation along with focusing on increasing GDP.

He lauded efforts made by Dr Shamshad Akhtar and her team in managing IMF affairs.

Ismail stressed the need for financial stability and relief for the citizens.

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