Tech
Biden launches new US trade probe into legacy Chinese chips
The Biden administration on Monday announced a last-minute trade investigation into Chinese-made “legacy” semiconductors that could heap more US tariffs on chips from China that power everyday goods from autos to washing machines to telecoms gear.
The “Section 301” probe, launched just four weeks before President-elect Donald Trump takes office on Jan. 20, will be handed over to his administration in January for completion, Biden administration officials said.
The effort could offer Trump a ready avenue to begin imposing some of the hefty, 60% tariffs that he has threatened on Chinese imports.
Departing President Joe Biden has already imposed a 50% U.S. tariff on Chinese semiconductors that starts on Jan. 1. His administration has tightened export curbs on advanced AI and memory chips and chipmaking equipment to China and also recently increased tariff to 50% on Chinese solar wafers and polysilicon.
The U.S. Trade Representative’s office, which will conduct the new probe, said it is aimed at protecting American and other market-driven chip producers from China’s massive state-driven buildup of domestic chip supply.
U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai said that the trade agency has found evidence that Beijing is targeting the semiconductor industry for global domination, similar to its buildup in steel, aluminum, solar panels, electric vehicles and critical minerals.
“This is enabling its companies to rapidly expand capacity and to offer artificially lower priced chips that threaten to significantly harm and potentially eliminate their market-oriented competition,” she told reporters on a conference call.
Legacy chips use older, mature manufacturing processes and are found in a wide range of mass-market applications. They do not include advanced chips for use in artificial intelligence applications or sophisticated microprocessors.
The Biden administration will begin accepting public comments on the probe on Jan. 6 and has planned a public hearing for March 11-12, according to a Federal Register notice on the probe. It is unclear whether Trump’s choice to lead USTR, Jamieson Greer, a trade lawyer and former USTR chief during Trump’s first administration, will be confirmed by the U.S. Senate by then.
The probe is being conducted under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, the same unfair trade practices statute that Trump invoked to impose tariffs of up to 25% on some $370 billion worth of Chinese imports in 2018 and 2019, triggering a nearly three-year trade war with Beijing.
If Trump takes up the probe, it needs to be completed within a year from initiation.
DOWNSTREAM GOODS PROBED
A Biden administration official said in addition to examining the impact of the imported chips themselves, the probe would also look at their incorporation into downstream components and end-use goods for critical industries including defense, automotive products and medical devices.
It also will target China’s production of silicon carbide substrates and wafers for semiconductor fabrication.
U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo said her department’s research shows two-thirds of U.S. products using chips had Chinese legacy chips in them, and half of U.S. companies did not know the origin of their chips including some in the defense industry, findings that were “fairly alarming.”
After the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the supply of semiconductors and temporarily halted production of autos and medical equipment, the U.S. has sought to build its own semiconductor supply chain with $52.7 billion in new subsidies for chip production, research and workforce development.
But Raimondo said China’s plans to build more than 60% of the world’s new legacy chip capacity over the next decade were discouraging investment elsewhere and constituted unfair competition.
It “undercuts our companies and makes the U.S. dependent on China for the chips that we use every day in so many things,” she told reporters.
Despite a bitter presidential campaign, one of the few areas of continuity between Biden’s and Trump’s administrations will be tariffs on China.
Biden kept in place all of the duties on Chinese imports imposed by Trump and added to them, including 100% duties on Chinese-made electric vehicles in an effort to keep them out of the U.S. market.
Tech
Apple approaches 4tr dollars valuation as investors bet on AI momentum
Apple (AAPL.O) is closing in on a historic $4 trillion stock market valuation, powered by investors cheering progress in the company’s long-awaited AI enhancements to rejuvenate sluggish iPhone sales.
The company has pulled ahead of Nvidia (NVDA.O) and Microsoft (MSFT.O) in the race to the monumental milestone, thanks to an about 16% jump in shares since early November that has added about $500 billion to its market capitalization.
The latest rally in Apple shares reflects “investor enthusiasm for artificial intelligence and an expectation that it will result in a supercycle of iPhone upgrades,” said Tom Forte, an analyst at Maxim Group, who has a “hold” rating.
Valued at about $3.85 trillion as of the last close, Apple dwarfs the combined value of Germany (.GDAXI) and Switzerland’s (.SSMI) main stock markets.
The Silicon Valley firm, driven by the so-called iPhone supercycles, was the first U.S. company to hit previous trillion-dollar milestones.
In recent years, the company has attracted criticism for being slow to map out its artificial intelligence strategy, while Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon and Meta Platforms have pulled ahead to dominate the emerging technology.
Shares of Nvidia, the biggest AI beneficiary, have surged more than 800% over the past two years, compared to the near doubling in shares of Apple during the same period.
Apple earlier in December started integrating OpenAI’s ChatGPT into its devices after unveiling plans in June to integrate generative AI technology across its app suite.
He’s assisted by the wearable exoskeleton robot he helped develop.
The company expects overall revenue to increase “low- to mid-single digits” during its fiscal first quarter – a modest growth forecast for the holiday shopping season – sparking questions about the momentum for the iPhone 16 series.
However, LSEG data showed analysts expect revenue from iPhones to rebound in 2025.
“Although near-term iPhone demand is still muted … it is a function of limited Apple Intelligence features and geographic availability, and as both broaden, it will help to drive an improvement in iPhone demand,” Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring said in a note, reiterating Apple as the brokerage’s “top pick” heading into 2025.
The recent surge in shares has pushed Apple’s price-to-earnings ratio to a near three-year high of 33.5, compared to 31.3 for Microsoft and 31.7 for Nvidia, according to LSEG data.
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N) has sold shares of Apple – its top holding – this year, as the conglomerate broadly retreated from equities on concerns over stretched valuations.
“I suspect the stock in three years will not look as expensive as it does today,” said Eric Clark, portfolio manager of the Rational Dynamic Brands Fund, which holds Apple shares.
Apple faces the risk of retaliatory tariffs if U.S. President-elect Donald Trump delivers on his promise to slap tariffs of at least 10% on goods coming from China.
“We believe it’s likely Apple gets exclusions on products like iPhone, Mac and iPad, similar to the first round of China tariffs in 2018,” Woodring said.
Apple’s shares tumbled last Wednesday amid a Wall Street selloff after the Federal Reserve forecast a slower pace of rate cuts next year but investors expect the broad trend of monetary easing to support stock markets next year.
“Technology has been regarded by investors as a new form of a defensive sector because of their earnings growth,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.
The Fed’s action “could end up having a greater impact on some of the other cyclical areas such as consumer discretionary and financials and less so on technology.”
“Apple’s approach to $4 trillion market cap is a testament to its enduring dominance in the tech sector. This milestone reinforces Apple’s position as a market leader and innovator,” said Adam Sarhan, chief executive officer of 50 Park Investments.
Tech
Google’s proposed search result changes get thumbs up from EU airlines
Alphabet’s (GOOGL.O) Google’s proposed changes to its search results to comply with EU tech legislation has received the thumbs up from lobbying group Airlines for Europe whose members include Air France KLM and Lufthansa (LHAG.DE).
Google has announced a series of changes in search result formats in recent months following conflicting demands from price-comparison sites, hotels, airlines and small retailers, with the latest tweaks announced last month.
It is trying to comply with the Digital Markets Act (DMA), which prohibits it from favouring its own products and services on its platform or risk fines as much as 10% of its global annual turnover.
“In the spirit of finding a DMA-compliant solution in a timely fashion, the airline industry has shown it is willing to compromise,” Airlines for Europe said in a letter to the European Commission dated Dec. 20 and seen by Reuters.
The airline group expressed support for the horizontal layout for same sized boxes for airlines and comparison sites in search results as well as the colour blue to distinguish them from other elements.
But it said prices displayed in search results should be the same in the graphic as those in the boxes. It also expressed concerns about Google’s proposal for a purely indicative date rather than specific dates for consumers looking to book flights.
Countries negotiating a global treaty to curb plastic pollution failed to reach agreement on Monday.
“Characteristics such as dates are an integral part of the general search process of consumers looking for air travel and the switch to a purely indicative date will downgrade their experience significantly,” the group.
Google has said it may return to an old format of 10 blue links in search results that it used years ago if its rivals – such as airlines and price comparison sites – cannot agree on its proposals to comply with the DMA and not promote its own products.
Tech
India’s push for home-grown satellite constellation gets 30 aspirants
Thirty Indian companies have answered the space regulator’s call to build and operate constellations of Earth observation (EO) satellites in a groundbreaking private-public partnership to reduce the country’s reliance on foreign data for defense, infrastructure management and other critical mapping needs.
“We have received 9 applications … Each applicant represents a consortium, involving a total of 30 companies,” said Pawan Goenka, chairman of the Indian National Space Promotion and Authorisation Centre, or IN-SPACe.
The regulator had sought “expressions of interest” (EoI) in July to build home-grown satellite constellations as part of a broader strategy to monetize the sector and ensure data sovereignty.
India is doubling down on its small satellite and data services market to carve out a leading role in the global commercialization of space. The market for such services, increasingly key for industries ranging from telecoms to climate monitoring, is projected to reach $45 billion by 2030.
The applicants for IN-SPACe’s latest effort in this regard include startups such as Google-backed Pixxel and Baring Private Equity-backed SatSure, as well as larger entities like Tata Group’s Tata Advanced Systems. The companies did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Goenka said he expects technical evaluations to be completed by the end of January, after which a tender will be floated to determine the winning bidder.
IN-SPACe’s eligibility criteria include applicants raising or investing at least 850 million rupees ($10 million) in space-related activities, having a valuation of 8.5 billion rupees, or a turnover of 2 billion rupees in the past three years.
They must also set up spacecraft control centres in India or partner with ground station service providers for operational needs.
According to a source familiar with the matter, the government plans to loan up to 3.5 billion to the winner, with private companies expected to cover the remaining costs.
Since opening the sector to private players in February, India has established a 10-billion-rupee venture fund to support space startups.
The country has also unveiled ambitious plans for crewed space exploration and a mission to Venus, but the primary focus remains on fostering commercial ventures and scaling up private sector participation.
India currently sources much of its EO data from foreign companies and agencies like the European Space Agency (ESA) and the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO).
IIFCL Projects Ltd, an advisory arm under the Ministry of Finance, is overseeing the bidding process.
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