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China approves guidelines to boost affordable housing amid property debt crisis

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China approves guidelines to boost affordable housing amid property debt crisis

China’s cabinet on Friday approved guidelines for planning and construction of affordable housing at a meeting chaired by Premier Li Qiang, state media Xinhua news agency reported.

The Chinese property sector is in a deepening crisis with a rising risk of default among some developers as they struggle to sell apartments and raise funds.

Xinhua didn’t give details of the new cabinet guidelines, but it cited the cabinet as saying they would expand investment and promote the healthy development of the property market.

Separately, China’s central bank announced guidance on relaxing residential housing loan rules, in a move aimed at boosting loan applications and house purchases.

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The People’s Bank of China said that banks should treat those without a house in their names at the location of a purchase as first-time home buyers, regardless of whether they have previously used a loan for a home purchase.

The central bank also said it would stick to the principle that houses are for living in and not vehicles for speculation.

Beijing has been promoting more affordable housing in recent years as runaway home prices in major cities shut out many young buyers – a plan that has assumed greater significance in the wake of the debt crisis in the property sector and weakening economic growth.

An official at the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development said last year that China would add 6.5 million new low-cost rental housing units in 40 major cities in 2021-2025.

However, with the property downturn, official data showed new home prices fell in July for the first time this year, underlining an urgency for bolder policy support.

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On Friday, the housing ministry, the central bank and the national financial regulator also jointly issued a notice easing mortgage policies to help revive the sector.

China’s housing market has over the past two years been grappling with a severe debt crisis – initially triggered by government moves to rein in ballooning debt.

The cabinet on Friday also approved plans to develop the pharmaceutical and medical equipment industries during 2023-2025, as it vowed to expand the country’s supply capacity of high-end medicines and key technologies, according to Xinhua.

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NY Fed survey finds general expectations of higher inflation

NY Fed survey finds general expectations of higher inflation

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NY Fed survey finds general expectations of higher inflation

Americans last month braced for generally higher inflation pressures over the next few years and accelerating home price increases, according to a report released on Monday by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

The bank said in its latest Survey of Consumer Expectations that respondents project inflation a year from now at 3.3% from March’s 3%, while inflation three years from now is seen moderating to an expected 2.8% rise from the prior month’s 2.9%. Five-year ahead inflation was seen at 2.8%, versus March’s 2.6%.

The Fed’s inflation target is 2% and the personal consumption expenditures price index, the central bank’s preferred inflation gauge, stood at a 2.7% year-over-year rise in March, up from 2.5% in February.

In the survey, respondents also reported expecting high price pressures a year from now across all measured categories, including rent, food, gasoline and medical costs. The expected rise in home prices a year from now rose to its highest level since July 2022, at a 3.3% increase from the 3% that had prevailed for the prior seven months.

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While the report found respondents expecting smaller future earnings and income gains it found a projection that future spending would rise. It also found households more worried about their personal financial situations even as they were more upbeat about their access to credit. The survey also found mixed views over the job market, with the lowest level of respondents saying they could get a job if they lost one since April 2021.

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Anglo American rejects BHP’s revised $42.7-billion buyout proposal

Anglo American rejects BHP’s revised $42.7-billion buyout proposal

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Anglo American rejects BHP's revised $42.7-billion buyout proposal

Anglo American (AAL.L), opens new tab rejected a raised takeover offer of 34 billion pounds ($42.67 billion) from BHP Group (BHP.AX), opens new tab on Monday, saying the world’s largest listed miner “continues to significantly undervalue” the company.

The London-listed miner had already rebuffed BHP’s initial $39 billion all-share takeover proposal, made on April 25, dismissing it as opportunistic and saying it would dilute the upside value for its shareholders relative to BHP’s.

“The latest proposal from BHP again fails to recognise the value inherent in Anglo American,” chairman Stuart Chambers said on Monday.

The new offer, made on May 7, was 10% higher than BHP’s first, or a 15% increase in the merger exchange ratio that would lift Anglo American shareholders’ aggregate ownership in the combined group to 16.6% from 14.8% in the earlier proposal.

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“We are disappointed that this second proposal has been rejected,” BHP’s CEO Mike Henry said in a statement.

“BHP continues to believe that a combination of the two businesses would deliver significant value for all shareholders,” the statement added.

The revised bid is still contingent on Anglo selling its shares in iron ore and platinum assets in South Africa, a structure Anglo says is unattractive.

Anglo’s share price reversed earlier losses to trade up 1.3% 27.73 pounds by 1411 GMT. 

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Wall Street coasts to the finish line of another winning week

Wall Street coasts to the finish line of another winning week

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Wall Street coasts to the finish line of another winning week

 U.S. stocks coasted to the close of another winning week on Friday.

The S&P 500 rose 8.60 points, or 0.2%, to 5,222.68 to finish a third straight winning week following its mostly miserable April. It had been on pace for a bigger gain in the morning, but that mostly disappeared following a discouraging report on U.S. consumer sentiment.

The S&P 500 has climbed back within 0.6% of its record on revived hopes that the Federal Reserve may deliver cuts to interest rates this year. A flood of stronger-than-expected reports on profits from big U.S. companies has also helped support the market.

Gen Digital jumped 15.3% after reporting better profit for the first three months of 2024 than analysts expected. The cyber safety company, whose brands include Norton and LifeLock, also authorized a program to buy back up to $3 billion of its stock. It joined a lengthening list of companies announcing big such programs, which helps goose per-share earnings for investors.

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Novavax nearly doubled and shot 98.7% higher after announcing a deal with Sanofi that could be worth more than $1.2 billion. The agreement includes a license to co-commercialize Novavax’s COVID-19 vaccine worldwide, with some exceptions. Novavax also reported a slightly smaller loss for the latest quarter than analysts expected.

It said the strengthening of the U.S. dollar’s value against other currencies is slicing into its business, along with slowing traffic growth across the industry. That helped overshadow its own announcement of a program to buy back up to $2 billion of its stock.

In the bond market, Treasury yields rose following the discouraging preliminary report from the University of Michigan.

It suggested sentiment among U.S. consumers is weakening by much more than economists expected, and the drop was large enough to be “statistically significant and brings sentiment to its lowest reading in about six months,” according to Joanne Hsu, director of the survey of consumers.

Potentially even more discouraging is that U.S. consumers were forecasting inflation of 3.5% in the upcoming year, up from their forecast of 3.2% a month earlier. If such expectations spiral higher, the fear is that it could lead to a vicious cycle that worsens inflation.

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It highlights how some companies have recently been describing increasing struggles among their customers, particularly their lower-income ones.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury rose to 4.50% from 4.46% late Thursday. But the movement was still relatively modest compared with its drop from 4.70% late last month.

Markets may remain on hold until Wednesday’s highly anticipated update on U.S. inflation at the consumer level, according to rates strategists at Bank of America. Traders are still largely penciling in one or two cuts to interest rates by the Federal Reserve this year, according to data from CME Group.

“Right now, the market is in a good mood thanks to a decent earnings season and a Fed that has a high bar to hiking,” according to Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management. “That mood can change quickly.”

Last week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell helped pull yields lower after saying the central bank remains closer to cutting its main interest rate than hiking it, despite a string of stubbornly high readings on inflation this year. The Fed has been keeping its main interest rate at the highest level in more than two decades in hopes of getting high inflation fully under control.

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A cooler-than-expected jobs report at the end of last week, meanwhile, suggested the U.S. economy could pull off the tricky balancing act of staying solid enough to avoid a bad recession but not so strong that it worsens inflation.

In stock markets abroad, London’s FTSE 100 rose 0.6% after the government reported the U.K. economy bounced back to growth at the start of the year. The performance was better than expected, and it snapped two straight quarters where the economy shrank.

In Japan, Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.4% after a report showed strong auto exports whittled down the nation’s trade deficit and it racked up solid returns on overseas investments.

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