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Oil prices down 6pc in a week as supply disruption fears ease

US job data raise expectations that Federal Reserves won’t go for another rate hike

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Oil prices down 6pc in a week as supply disruption fears ease

Oil prices settled more than 2 per cent lower on Friday as supply concerns driven by Middle East tensions eased, while jobs data raised expectations the US Federal Reserve could be done hiking interest rates in the biggest oil consuming economy.

Brent crude futures were down $1.92, or 2.3pc, to $84.89 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell $1.95, or 2.4pc, to $80.51 a barrel.

Both benchmarks settled down more than 6pc on the week.

Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, speaking for the first time since the Israel-Hamas war erupted, warned on Friday that a wider conflict in the Middle East was possible but did not commit to opening another front on Israel’s border with Lebanon.

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“The market is taking this conflict in its stride, as it looks to be neither a significant demand or supply disruption event,” said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital LLC in New York.

US job growth slowed more than expected in October, official data showed, while wage inflation cooled, pointing to an easing in labor market conditions.

The data bolstered the view that the Federal Reserve need not raise interest rates further.

The Fed held interest rates steady this week, while the Bank of England kept rates at a 15-year peak, supporting oil prices as some risk appetite returned to markets.

But a private sector survey on Friday showed that while China’s services activity expanded at a slightly faster pace in October, sales grew at the softest rate in 10 months and employment stagnated as business confidence waned.

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The data followed a reading from the National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday that showed China’s manufacturing activity unexpectedly contracted in October.

On the supply side, Saudi Arabia is expected to reconfirm an extension of its voluntary oil output cut of 1 million barrels per day through December, based on analyst expectations.

The US House of Representatives easily passed a bill to bolster sanctions on Iranian oil in a strong bipartisan vote, but it was unclear how effective the legislation would be if signed into law.

While Congress can pass sanctions legislation, such measures often come with national security waivers that allow presidents discretion in applying the law.

China could also continue to import the oil despite new sanctions.

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US energy firms this week cut the number of oil and natural gas rigs operating to their lowest since February 2022, energy services firm Baker Hughes (BKR.O) said on Friday.
 

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Oil inches up, all eyes on OPEC+ meeting

Oil inches up, all eyes on OPEC+ meeting

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Oil inches up, all eyes on OPEC+ meeting

Oil prices were little changed on Thursday as investors eagerly awaited the outcome of an anticipated OPEC+ meeting that could lead to deeper supply cuts in 2024.

Brent crude futures for January climbed 70 cents to $83.80 a barrel by 0935 GMT, on subdued volumes given the contract is meant to expire today. The more active February contract was up 58 cents at $83.46 a barrel.

Meanwhile, US West Texas Intermediate crude futures crept up 55 cents to $78.41 a barrel.

The OPEC+ group, which includes the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, is expected to hold virtual meetings on Thursday to discuss additional production cuts that could range between 1 million to 2 million barrels per day (bpd) in early 2024.

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The meeting, being held on the same day as global leaders gather in Dubai for the U.N. climate conference, was originally scheduled for last week but was deferred due to disagreements over output quotas for African producers.

Implementing additional cuts will send prices higher in the immediate future but long term, their impact will be “dubious”, said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

Compliance will be an issue, and the global oil balance is probably much less tight than OPEC estimates, he said, citing the latest commercial inventory data out of the United States and the stubbornly high-interest rates in many major economies that are likely to dampen oil demand.

The US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday reported a surprise build in US crude oil stocks last week, with inventories up by 1.6 million barrels, compared with analysts’ expectations in a Reuters poll for a 933,000-barrel drop.

But oil prices on Wednesday shrugged off the data with all eyes on the OPEC+ meeting, analysts said.

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Adding to the pessimism on the demand side are China’s persisting economic troubles, embodied in the latest factory data published on Thursday, which showed contraction for a second straight month in November. 

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216 illegal gas connections cut, Rs69m fine imposed on violators

216 illegal gas connections cut, Rs69m fine imposed on violators

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216 illegal gas connections cut, Rs69m fine imposed on violators

The Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) conducted raids in Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Islamabad, resulting in the disconnection of 216 connections.

More than 287 under-billing cases were proceeded against and a substantial fine of Rs69 million was imposed.

In Lahore, the regional team disconnected 38 connections for illegal gas use, along with 14 connections using compressors. 

Multan witnessed the disconnection of four connections for illegal gas use, processing 109 under-billing cases, and levying a fine of Rs0.14 million against the under-billing.

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In Sheikhupura, 43 connections were disconnected for illegal use, five for compressor use, and 46 under-billing cases were processed, resulting in a fine of Rs4.52 million.

Peshawar and Karak reported 62 disconnections for direct and illegal gas use. Three FIRs were lodged against the gas pillagers.

Also Read: SNGPL disconnects 212 gas for gas theft

In Bahawalpur, 13 connections were disconnected while the crackdown was extended to Sahiwal, Faisalabad, Gujrat, and Sialkot.

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Inclusion of non-filers to tax net will reduce circular debt: Miftah

Inclusion of non-filers to tax net will reduce circular debt: Miftah

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Inclusion of non-filers to tax net will reduce circular debt: Miftah

 Former federal finance minister Miftah Ismail has stressed the need for including non-filers in the tax net to reduce the circular debts.

He expressed these views while talking to Dunya News programme “Dunya Kamran Khan Kay Sath”.

During the interview, the former FinMin expressed concerns over the soaring electricity prices, urging a reduction in distribution companies’ line losses to alleviate the burden on consumers.

He underscored the value of maintaining a positive relationship with the IMF.

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According to Ismail, the priority should be given to curbing inflation along with focusing on increasing GDP.

He lauded efforts made by Dr Shamshad Akhtar and her team in managing IMF affairs.

Ismail stressed the need for financial stability and relief for the citizens.

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