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Microsoft set for AI-powered revenue surge as stock pulls ahead

Microsoft set for AI-powered revenue surge as stock pulls ahead

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Microsoft set for AI-powered revenue surge as stock pulls ahead

 Microsoft (MSFT.O), opens new tab is expected to report a 15.8% jump in quarterly revenue, its best growth in nearly two years, as rising adoption of its products infused with generative AI fuels demand for its cloud services.

Thanks to its early lead in artificial intelligence, Microsoft is likely to cement its lead as the biggest company by market value this year. The software giant snagged the top spot on Friday, with a valuation of $3 trillion, toppling by a small margin Apple (AAPL.O), opens new tab, the most valuable company since 2011.

Results on Tuesday from Microsoft, which has committed to invest more than $10 billion in generative AI posterchild and ChatGPT maker OpenAI, will set the tone for expectations from AI this year, after investors poured billions of dollars into the technology in 2023.

Any boost to companies’ toplines will still be small for the next few months, analysts have said. Nevertheless, Wall Street will watch closely to see if these investments are starting to show returns.

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“Gen AI has emerged as the top priority for (chief information officers) and Microsoft is uniquely well positioned, with the majority of CIOs expecting to use a Microsoft AI product in the next 12 months,” Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss said in a note dated Jan. 11.

The Windows-maker over the last three months has widely rolled out its main AI tool – the $30-a-month “Copilot” for its Microsoft 365 service that can draft emails, make presentations and collate meeting highlights.

“We expect AI contribution to Azure growth to increase, with our checks pointing to strong demand for Azure AI services,” said Jefferies analyst Brent Thill in a research note.

“It’s worth highlighting that we expect the situation at OpenAI will have a minimal impact, if any, on Azure’s AI contribution in (the second quarter),” he said.

Growth in Microsoft’s cloud business is also picking up as customers buy computing power in anticipation of using its AI services. This has helped Azure win market share as it competes with Amazon.com’s (AMZN.O), opens new tab AWS and Alphabet’s (GOOGL.O), opens new tab Google Cloud.

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Microsoft forecast 26% to 27% growth for Azure in the second quarter ended Dec. 31. Analysts from Visible Alpha expect Azure to grow 27.7%.

“It’s too early to be modeling revenue contribution from GenAI before 2025 for any software company not named Microsoft,” said RBC Capital Markets analyst Rishi Jaluria.

Microsoft said in October it expects its December-quarter gross margin for the cloud business to be mostly flat from a year earlier as it spends to expand its AI infrastructure to meet growing demand. Second-quarter operating expenses are expected to surge the most in five quarters, according to LSEG.

A recovery in the personal computers market is expected to lift revenue growth in the company’s Windows and devices business to the most in four years.

For its Windows-based business segment, which includes its recent acquisition of gaming firm Activision, the company forecast second-quarter sales growth of about 16% to 19%. Last week, Microsoft said it would let go of 1,900 employees at Activision Blizzard and Xbox, representing about 8% of the overall Microsoft Gaming division.

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Microsoft’s shares climbed 57% last year. Along with a rally in other tech stocks, including Alphabet and Nvidia (NVDA.O), opens new tab, Microsoft helped fuel a 24% surge in the S&P 500 (.SPX), opens new tab in 2023. 

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A former OpenAI leader says safety has ‘taken a backseat to shiny products’ at the AI company

A former OpenAI leader says safety has ‘taken a backseat to shiny products’ at the AI company

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A former OpenAI leader says safety has 'taken a backseat to shiny products' at the AI company

A former OpenAI leader who resigned from the company earlier this week said Friday that safety has “taken a backseat to shiny products” at the influential artificial intelligence company.

Jan Leike, who ran OpenAI’s “Superalignment” team alongside a company co-founder who also resigned this week, wrote in a series of posts on the social media platform X that he joined the San Francisco-based company because he thought it would be the best place to do AI research.

“However, I have been disagreeing with OpenAI leadership about the company’s core priorities for quite some time, until we finally reached a breaking point,” wrote Leike, whose last day was Thursday.

An AI researcher by training, Leike said he believes there should be more focus on preparing for the next generation of AI models, including on things like safety and analyzing the societal impacts of such technologies.

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He said building “smarter-than-human machines is an inherently dangerous endeavor” and that the company “is shouldering an enormous responsibility on behalf of all of humanity.”

“OpenAI must become a safety-first AGI company,” wrote Leike, using the abbreviated version of artificial general intelligence, a futuristic vision of machines that are as broadly smart as humans or at least can do many things as well as people can.

Open AI CEO Sam Altman wrote in a reply to Leike’s posts that he was “super appreciative” of Leike’s contributions to the company was “very sad to see him leave.”

Leike is “right we have a lot more to do; we are committed to doing it,” Altman said, pledging to write a longer post on the subject in the coming days.

The company also confirmed Friday that it had disbanded Leike’s Superalignment team, which was launched last year to focus on AI risks, and is integrating the team’s members across its research efforts.

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Leike’s resignation came after OpenAI co-founder and chief scientist Ilya Sutskever said Tuesday that he was leaving the company after nearly a decade.

Sutskever was one of four board members last fall who voted to push out Altman — only to quickly reinstate him. It was Sutskever who told Altman last November that he was being fired, but he later said he regretted doing so.

Sutskever said he is working on a new project that’s meaningful to him without offering additional details.

He will be replaced by Jakub Pachocki as chief scientist. Altman called Pachocki “also easily one of the greatest minds of our generation” and said he is “very confident he will lead us to make rapid and safe progress towards our mission of ensuring that AGI benefits everyone.”

On Monday, OpenAI showed off the latest update to its artificial intelligence m

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US, TikTok seek fast-track schedule, ruling by Dec. 6 on potential ban

US, TikTok seek fast-track schedule, ruling by Dec. 6 on potential ban

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US, TikTok seek fast-track schedule, ruling by Dec. 6 on potential ban

The U.S. Justice Department and TikTok on Friday asked a U.S. appeals court to set a fast-track schedule to consider the legal challenges to a new law requiring China-based ByteDance to divest TikTok’s U.S. assets by Jan. 19 or face a ban.

TikTok, ByteDance and a group of TikTok content creators joined with the Justice Department in asking the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia to rule by Dec. 6 to be able to seek review from the Supreme Court if needed before the U.S. deadline. 

On Tuesday, a group of TikTok creators filed suit to block the law that could ban the app used by 170 million Americans, saying it has had “a profound effect on American life.”

Last week, TikTok and parent company ByteDance filed a similar lawsuit, arguing that the law violates the U.S. Constitution on a number of grounds including running afoul of First Amendment free speech protections.

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“In light of the large number of users of the TikTok platform, the public at large has a significant interest in the prompt disposition of this matter,” the U.S. Justice Department and TikTok petitioners said.

TikTok said with a fast-track schedule it believes the legal challenge can be resolved without it needing to request
emergency preliminary injunctive relief.

The law, signed by President Joe Biden on April 24, gives ByteDance until Jan. 19 to sell TikTok or face a ban. The White House says it wants to see Chinese-based ownership ended on national security grounds, but not a ban on TikTok.

The parties asked the court to set the case for oral arguments as soon as practical during the September case calendar. The Justice Department said it may file classified material to support the national security justifications in secret with the court.

Earlier this week the Justice Department said the TikTok law “addresses critical national security concerns in a manner that is consistent with the First Amendment and other constitutional limitations.”

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The law prohibits app stores like Apple and Alphabet’s Google from offering TikTok and bars internet hosting services from supporting TikTok unless ByteDance divests TikTok.

Driven by worries among U.S. lawmakers that China could access data on Americans or spy on them with the app, the measure was passed overwhelmingly in Congress just weeks after being introduced.

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Spotify sued over alleged unpaid royalties

Spotify sued over alleged unpaid royalties

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Spotify sued over alleged unpaid royalties

Music streaming giant Spotify has been sued in a US federal court for allegedly underpaying songwriters, composers and publishers by tens of millions of dollars.

The lawsuit against Spotify USA was filed in New York on Thursday by the Mechanical Licensing Collective (MLC), a non-profit that collects and distributes royalties owed from music streaming services.

The suit alleges that Spotify on March 1, without advance notice, reclassified its paid subscription services, resulting in a nearly 50 percent reduction in royalty payments to MLC.

“The financial consequences of Spotify’s failure to meet its statutory obligations are enormous for Songwriters and Music Publishers,” MLC said.

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“If unchecked, the impact on Songwriters and Music Publishers of Spotify’s unlawful underreporting could run into the hundreds of millions of dollars.”

According to MLC, Spotify reclassified its Premium Individual, Duo and Family subscription streaming plans as Bundled Subscription Offerings because they now include audiobooks.

Royalties paid on bundled services are significantly less. MLC said Premium subscribers already had access to audiobooks and “nothing has been bundled with it.”

“Premium is exactly the same service that Spotify offered to its subscribers before the launch of Audiobooks Access,” it said. In a statement, Spotify said the lawsuit “concerns terms that publishers and streaming services agreed to and celebrated years ago.”

Spotify said it paid a “record amount” in royalties last year and “is on track to pay out an even larger amount in 2024.” “We look forward to a swift resolution of this matter,” the Swedish company said.

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In February, Spotify said it paid $9 billion to musicians and publishers last year, about half of which went to independent artists. 

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