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G7-led coalition sets price cap on Russian oil products

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G7-led coalition sets price cap on Russian oil products

The Group of Seven rich nations, the European Union and Australia have set price caps for Russian diesel and other refined petroleum products to keep markets supplied while limiting Moscow’s revenues when an EU embargo kicks in.

The EU measure, which takes effect on Feb. 5, follows an earlier EU embargo on Russian seaborne crude, for which the bloc, the G7 and Australia set a crude price cap at $60 per barrel from Dec. 5.

The coalition aims to punish Russia over its invasion of Ukraine almost a year ago by depriving it of revenue from its oil and products exports, while averting a surge in prices that could occur if Russian oil stopped flowing to global markets.

Envisioned as a safety valve from the EU ban, which covers insuring and shipping Russian oil and therefore risks snarling the entire global trade, the price cap mechanisms would allow such services provided they occur below an enforced price.

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Below are the main elements of how the embargo on Russian refined products is supposed to work:

PRICE CAP

The coalition on Friday said it had set the price caps at $100 per barrel on products that trade at a premium to crude, principally diesel, and $45 per barrel for products that trade at a discount, such as fuel oil and naphtha. That was in line with the levels suggested by the European Commission.

The price caps on petroleum products will be implemented on Feb. 5 or “very soon thereafter,” the coalition said in a statement. Participating countries said they would include “time-limited exceptions” for products that are loaded onto a vessel prior to Feb. 5.

WHAT IS PROHIBITED

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The EU ban bars EU vessels from carrying Russian-origin petroleum products, unless the products are purchased at or below the price cap agreed by the coalition.

The provision also applies to companies that provide technical, brokering or financial assistance such as insurance for cargoes carrying Russian refined products.

PENALTIES

If a vessel sailing under the flag of a third party intentionally carries Russian oil above the price cap, EU operators will be prohibited from insuring, financing and servicing the vessel for 90 days after the cargo has been unloaded.

EU-flagged vessels will be subject to penalties according to national legislation, but the EU is working on a penalty of 5% of global turnover for companies that break EU sanctions.

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NEXT STEPS

The G7 coalition said it would review the Dec. 5 crude oil price cap in March.

Decisions on any changes would be driven by technical analysis by groups such as the International Energy Agency, while factoring in the impact on Russian oil revenues. 

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Dollar muted as traders await Fed rate decision

Dollar muted as traders await Fed rate decision

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Dollar muted as traders await Fed rate decision

The dollar was pinned near five-week lows on Wednesday ahead of the conclusion of the US Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, with investors awaiting clarity on the path the central bank is likely to take in the wake of global banking turmoil.

Investor attention is zeroed in on whether the Fed will stick to its hawkish path to fight sticky inflation or pause interest rate hikes given recent trouble among banks which has included bankruptcy and last-minute rescues.

The US dollar index, which measures the currency against six peers, was at 103.19, just above the five-week low of 102.99 touched overnight. The euro was at $1.0770, hovering around a five-week high of $1.0789 scaled overnight.

Markets are now pricing in about a 15% chance of the Fed not increasing rates, with a roughly 85% chance of a 25 basis point hike, showed the CME FedWatch tool. Just a month earlier, the market was pricing in a 24% chance of a 50 basis point hike.

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Investor sentiment remained fragile with worries over the outlook for the banking sector starting to ease after sharp volatility in the market in the past few weeks following high-profile U.S. banking failures earlier in the month and the rescue of lender Credit Suisse Group AG at the weekend.

“Markets are seemingly becoming more comfortable with the idea that authorities have probably done enough to prevent a systemic banking crisis,” said Rodrigo Catril, a senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney.

“It might be early days, but the price action over the past 48 hours is certainly signalling a change in mood by investors.”

The Fed meeting concludes on Wednesday with the 2 pm EDT (1800 GMT) release of a policy statement followed half an hour later by a news conference by Chair Jerome Powell.

Catril said the Fed faces a difficult choice given a strong labour market alongside February inflation figures that were higher than many market watchers expected. Such circumstances would usually be ripe for a return to a 50 basis point hike were it not for worries over financial stability, he said.

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Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC, said the focus will be on how the Fed communicates its forward guidance, in particular “the higher for longer” rhetoric.

“Ideally, we would like the Fed to go with a 25 basis point hike this meeting, tone down hawkish guidance and emphasize that policy decisions at subsequent meetings will continue to be data-dependent,” Wong said. “This wishlist should see dollar trade on the softer profile and risk proxies trade steadily.”

Meanwhile, the yen strengthened 0.04% to 132.47 per dollar, whereas sterling was last trading at $1.2233, up 0.16% on the day.

The Australian dollar rose 0.36% to $0.6694, while the New Zealand dollar gained 0.11% to $0.6199.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin last rose 0.44% to $28,276.58, but was below a nine-month peak it touched on Monday.

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Sui Northern to take special initiatives to ensure uninterrupted gas supply in Ramzan

Sui Northern to take special initiatives to ensure uninterrupted gas supply in Ramzan

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Sui Northern to take special initiatives to ensure uninterrupted gas supply in Ramzan

Sui Northern Gas has announced special initiatives to ensure uninterrupted gas supply to its consumers during the holy month of Ramzan.

The company will be undertaking immediate measures to ensure gas supply with full pressure. SNGPL spokesperson, in a statement, said that domestic consumers will be ensured gas supply with full pressure particularly between 2:30 to 6am and 4 to 9pm.

Spokesperson also stated that company will also ensure natural gas supply other than the mentioned timings. SNGPL has also constituted monitoring teams for immediate resolution of complaints regarding gas pressure.

Additionally monitoring room is being established for gas supply related complaints. SNGPL has requested consumers to consume natural gas wisely during the month of Ramzan.

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Bitcoin climbs to 9-month high as bank turmoil sparks rally

Bitcoin climbs to 9-month high as bank turmoil sparks rally

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Bitcoin climbs to 9-month high as bank turmoil sparks rally

 Bitcoin climbed to a nine-month high on Monday as turmoil in the banking sector drives some investors to turn to digital assets, as the cryptocurrency built on its best week in four years.

The biggest cryptocurrency rose as far as $28,567, its highest since mid-June, and was last up 0.9%, amid growing expectations that central banks would slow the pace of interest rate hikes.

Bitcoin rose 26% last week, its best weekly gain since April 2019, and has soared some 40% in 10 days as turmoil in the banking sector rippled around the globe – culminating, so far, in UBS Group’s takeover of rival Credit Suisse Group AG over the weekend.

Traditional assets such as banking stocks and bonds plummeted on Monday after UBS sealed its state-backed takeover of Credit Suisse, a deal orchestrated in an attempt to restore confidence in a battered sector.

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Top central banks, faced with the risk of a fast-moving loss of confidence in the stability of the financial system, moved on Sunday to bolster the flow of cash around the world. Such a global response has not seen since the height of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Its stunning rally is the result of the banking crisis, and as the interest rate markets prices in rate cuts in the second half of 2023,” said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG Markets, predicting a move towards $32,000 should bitcoin hold above the key support level about $25,000.

Other market players predicted that bitcoin would benefit from central bank efforts to bolster liquidity in the global financial system. It rose to a record of $69,000 in November 2021 after central banks and governments launched unprecedented monetary and fiscal stimulus measures.

“The momentum is all driven by liquidity,” said Markus Thielson at digital asset firm Matrixport in Singapore.

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